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Table 2 Main results and final indicators of BAU and RIC scenarios

From: Energy scenarios for the Minas Gerais State in Brazil: an integrated modeling exercise using System Dynamics

Variables

BAU

RIC

Installed power (MW) in 2030

21 thousand

25 thousand

Energy production (MWh/year) in 2030

121 million

131 million

Energy demand (MWh/year) in 2030

131 million

127 million

Net import (MWh/year)

10 million

−4 million

Oil demand (tonnes/year) in 2030

18 million

14 million

Absolute CO2 equivalent emissions (tonnes of CO2e)

102 million

92 million

CO2 emission intensity (tonnes CO2e/MWh) in 2030

0.84

0.70

Energy sector employment (employer)

10 thousand

14 thousand

Avoided costs (US$)

-

46 billion

Additional income (US$)

2.8 billion

4.4 billion

Total net cumulative cost (US$)

316 billion

350 billion