Fig. 4From: Uncertainty analysis using Bayesian Model Averaging: a case study of input variables to energy models and inference to associated uncertainties of energy scenariosMarginal density and expected values of models (EV Models) for the variable CRUDE_PRICE with a posterior inclusion probability (PIP) of ca. 30Â %. The red line indicates the analytical conditional expected value (Cond. EV), the blue line indicates the sampled conditional expected value (Cond. EV (MCMC))Back to article page