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Table 3 Inclusion of variables (coefficient estimate) and posterior model probability for the best five models (rounded)

From: Uncertainty analysis using Bayesian Model Averaging: a case study of input variables to energy models and inference to associated uncertainties of energy scenarios

  Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
INDPROD      
DEPL      
TRA −0.72 −0.82 −1.17 −0.88 −0.96
RENEW 0.26 0.23   0.23 0.19
ELC −3.03 −3.25 −3.96 −3.30 −3.47
GASELC      
OILELC      
IMPTOT      
NRGPROD      
GDP 0.73 0.68 0.99 0.75 0.84
INDVAL      
NGRENT    −0.05   −0.03
OILRENT     −0.08  
USCONNG −0.54 −0.50 −0.53 −0.50 −0.52
WTI_PRICE 0.07 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.07
CRUDE_PRICE   -0.04    
IMPP_DE      
HDD      
PMP (exact) 0.1113 0.0780 0.0543 0.0365 0.0329
PMP (MCMC) 0.1109 0.0751 0.0527 0.0356 0.0324