Table 5 Individual Uncertainties of variables (influences) and model uncertainty for model 2 (cf.Table 3) with n = 7
Model 2 M2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
Variable k | PIP | Individual uncertainty | n |
USCONNG | 99.24 % | 0.76 % | 1 |
WTI_PRICE | 98.62 % | 1.38 % | 2 |
ELC | 97.07 % | 2.94 % | 3 |
TRA | 95.46 % | 4.55 % | 4 |
GDP | 95.20 % | 4.80 % | 5 |
RENEW | 50.83 % | 49.17 % | 6 |
CRUDE_PRICE | 30.69 % | 69.31 % | 7 |
Averaged uncertainty \( \frac{{\displaystyle {\sum}_{k=1}^{k=n}\left(1-{\mathrm{PIP}}_{k\ }\right)}}{n} \) | 18.99 % | ||
PMPM2 | Model uncertainty | ||
7.8 % | |||
Model uncertainty Ψ(M 2) = 1 − PMP M2 | 100 % − 7.8 % = 92.2 % | ||