Table 3 Scenario presentation example for My-model
My-model input variable | Hypothetical assumption |
|---|---|
Natural gas price | Linear increase towards the 10th year. The initial value (2015) is the mean price level of the historical period. The peak price is twice as high as the historical max. value. Linear decrease towards the 20th year to the initial value. |
Oil price | Equal to natural gas price. |
Conventional natural gas production | Decrease towards the 10th year with a tipping point at a value lower than the historical minimum. Increase towards the 20th year stabilising below the average of the historical period. |
Electricity consumption | Flat increase by nearly 0.4% over the projection period. |
Storage capacity | Similar to “stable increase scenario”. |