From: Probabilistic upscaling and aggregation of wind power forecasts
Variable | Meaning | Input for |
---|---|---|
xt | Wind speed at hub height for a given time step t | Probabilistic forecasts |
yt | Observed power of the wind farm a given time step t | Probabilistic forecasts, calibration |
\(q^{(i)}_{\alpha,t}\) | Probabilistic forecast of a reference wind farm i for a given time step t and a given quantile α | Determining the copula, calibration |
\(y^{(i)}_{\text {ref},t}\) | Observed power of the reference wind farm i for a given time step t | Determining the copula |
di,j | Distance between wind farm i and j | Upscaling |
deff | Effective distance vector, i.e., a scaled distance allowing to tune relative contribution | Calibration |