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Table 1 Overview of the input variables for the various steps of the algorithm

From: Probabilistic upscaling and aggregation of wind power forecasts

Variable

Meaning

Input for

xt

Wind speed at hub height for a given time step t

Probabilistic forecasts

yt

Observed power of the wind farm a given time step t

Probabilistic forecasts, calibration

\(q^{(i)}_{\alpha,t}\)

Probabilistic forecast of a reference wind farm i for a given time step t and a given quantile α

Determining the copula, calibration

\(y^{(i)}_{\text {ref},t}\)

Observed power of the reference wind farm i for a given time step t

Determining the copula

di,j

Distance between wind farm i and j

Upscaling

deff

Effective distance vector, i.e., a scaled distance allowing to tune relative contribution

Calibration

  1. The symbol of the variable, its meaning, and the corresponding process step are listed