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Table 5 Estimated electricity consumption and potential demand flexibility in 2040.

From: Heat consumption scenarios in the rural residential sector: the potential of heat pump-based demand-side management for sustainable heating

  

Scenario

 

Scale

SEE

AEE

DEE

Retrofit target by 2040 (number of houses)

Study area

2907

5813

8720

Share of the total (%)

Study area

25

50

75

Total electricity consumption for heating (MWh/year)

Study area

5372.2

7163.0

8058.4

Average electricity consumption for heating (kWh/year)

Household

1848.0

1232.2

924.1

Theoretical flexibility \({L}_{\mathrm{shift},H}\) (kW)

Household

1.5

1.2

1.2

Aggregated theoretical flexibility

\({L}_{\mathrm{shift},A}\) (MW)

Study area

4.3

6.8

10.2

Total flexibility per 24 h (kWh electricity)

Household

3.4

3.4

3.4

Heat storage capacity (kWh heat)

Household

11.5

11.5

11.5