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Table 1 Scenarios and scenario assumptions

From: Electricity market relationship between Great Britain and its neighbors: distributional effects of Brexit

Scenario

Blue

Green

Scenario-variant

soft_defa

soft_infl

hard_def

hard_infl

soft_def *

soft_infl

hard_def

hard_infl

Increases in interconnectivity

As planned

[100%]

Reduced

[65%]

As planned

[100%]

Reduced

[65%]

Devaluation of currency

No

(0%)

Yes

(10%)b

No

(0%)

Yes

(10%)

No

(0%)

Yes

(10%)

No

(0%)

Yes

(10%)

Certificate price [Euro/t CO2]c

GB: 90, EU: 30

GB: 90, EU: 90

Annual electricity demand GB [TWh]

330

355

RES-E (GW)

41

83

Nuclear (GW)

4.5

9

Fossil Fuel (GW)

46

37

  1. aBaseline Green and Blue scenarios in the respective scenario family
  2. b10% devaluation compared to mid-2016 level
  3. cFrom ENTSO-E scenarios